Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.264659 0.290351 0.316554 0.345226 0.375664 0.406965 0.441534
2024-12-15 0.238531 0.275463 0.314428 0.358429 0.406561 0.457447 0.515141
2024-12-22 0.213944 0.258564 0.307055 0.363299 0.426375 0.494575 0.573532
2024-12-29 0.197580 0.248594 0.305487 0.373006 0.450317 0.535470 0.635730
2025-01-05 0.180059 0.235472 0.298803 0.375580 0.465180 0.565517 0.685434
2025-01-12 0.164374 0.223034 0.291648 0.376487 0.477222 0.591722 0.730390
2025-01-19 0.149574 0.210412 0.283185 0.374870 0.485513 0.613018 0.769314
2025-01-26 0.139077 0.202236 0.279341 0.378124 0.499046 0.640076 0.814761
2025-02-02 0.132467 0.198414 0.280388 0.386954 0.519018 0.674624 0.869068
2025-02-09 0.123019 0.190217 0.275365 0.387767 0.528850 0.696836 0.908637
2025-02-16 0.117428 0.186708 0.275969 0.395359 0.546843 0.728808 0.959955
2025-02-23 0.112698 0.184008 0.277341 0.403718 0.565675 0.761794 1.012621
2025-03-02 0.104693 0.176467 0.272182 0.403661 0.574120 0.782461 1.050999
2025-03-09 0.098159 0.170583 0.268894 0.405772 0.585147 0.806265 1.093301
2025-03-16 0.090898 0.163181 0.263156 0.404313 0.591352 0.823934 1.128031
2025-03-23 0.087014 0.160487 0.263689 0.411075 0.608115 0.854848 1.179299
2025-03-30 0.081477 0.154950 0.259957 0.411832 0.616874 0.875589 1.217915
2025-04-06 0.076094 0.149299 0.255771 0.411719 0.624307 0.894551 1.254302
2025-04-13 0.070473 0.142905 0.250200 0.409417 0.628619 0.909389 1.285445
2025-04-20 0.066795 0.139390 0.248637 0.412560 0.640135 0.933486 1.328399
2025-04-27 0.065001 0.138844 0.251392 0.421769 0.659875 0.968338 1.385256
2025-05-04 0.061114 0.134554 0.248336 0.422539 0.668037 0.988083 1.422827
2025-05-11 0.059288 0.133654 0.250343 0.430548 0.686127 1.020904 1.477375